Probably Overthinking It

Probably Overthinking It

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Problematic presentation of probabilistic predictions

Why are we so surprised?

Election day, finally!

The Skeet Shooting problem

The Alien Blaster Problem

Socks, skeets, space aliens

Why is my cat orange?

Millennials are still not getting married

Bayes's Theorem is not optional

Blow it up and start again

It's a small world, scale-free network after all

Sleeping Beauty and the Red Dice

What is a distribution?

Bayesian Statistics for Undergrads

There is still only one test

Learning to Love Bayesian Statistics

Does Trivers-Willard apply to people?

I will probably not win the Great Beat Run

Do generations exist?

Binomial and negative binomial distributions

Probability is hard: part four

Probability is hard: part three

Probability is hard, part two

Probability is hard

Stats can't make modeling decisions

Bayes on Jupyter

Bayesian update with a multivariate normal distribution

Engineering education is good preparation for a lot of things

A quick Bayes problem in IPython

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