Probably Overthinking It

Probably Overthinking It

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Are first babies more likely to be light?

Estimating the age of renal tumors

Comment on "Racism and Meritocracy"

Girl Named Florida solutions

The red-haired girl named Florida

Somebody bet on the Bayes

All your Bayes are belong to us!

My favorite Bayes's Theorem problems

The Blinky Monty Problem

Repeated tests: how bad can it be?

The Jimmy Nut Company problem

Upcoming webcast: Only One Test

A hierarchical Bayesian model of pond scum

More hypotheses, less trivia

There is only one test!

Statistics Workshop

Think Stats will be published by O'Reilly in June

Two Hour Marathon in 2045

Bayesianness is next to Godliness

Survival analysis

Freshman hordes more godless than ever!

Predicting marathon times

BQ is unfair to women

Moving the goalposts

The BQ Effect

Yet another reason SAT scores are non-predictive

Are you popular? Hint: no.

Obesity epidemic cured!

Observer effect in relay races

Proofiness and elections

© 2025 Allen Downey
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